- ADA shows signs of reversal, but historical false starts against BTC warrant cautious optimism.
- Oversold RSI and pressure delta shift hint at rebound, but BTC dominance still poses a challenge.
Can the underdog outpace the king?
While Bitcoin [BTC] basks in the spotlight, Cardano [ADA] might just be quietly lacing up for a surprising yet not impossible breakout sprint.
Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, has suggested that ADA could outshine BTC as a rare buy/sell pressure reversal emerges.
“Cardano may be about to outperform BTC.”
Is this the comeback no one saw coming?
Is Cardano gearing for a breakout?
ADA’s Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is flashing a rare reversal — one that historically precedes significant price upswings.
Source: Alphractal
Both ADA/USDT and ADA/BTC charts reveal the pressure delta climbing out of the prolonged sell zone into bullish territory for the first time in months.
Source: Alphractal
This transition, as seen in 2020 and 2021, often marks the start of major rallies.
With Bitcoin cooling off and ADA gaining momentum, the charts may be hinting at a long-overdue comeback… and possibly, an altcoin leader in waiting.
Short-term pain, long-term play?
Over the past few weeks, ADA has been on a sharper downward slope than Bitcoin — dropping below $0.60 with an RSI of 32.86, firmly in oversold territory.
Source: Trading View
Meanwhile, BTC has been holding relatively steady above $104K, with an RSI of 47.80 showing neutral momentum.
Source: Trading View
Despite the red MACD bars on both charts, ADA’s steeper losses and lower RSI suggest it’s closer to a potential reversal point. In contrast, BTC appears to be consolidating.
This divergence could give ADA the edge in terms of rebound potential, especially with on-chain metrics flashing early bullish signals.
Caution ahead
While buy/sell pressure delta spikes have historically preceded rebounds, ADA/BTC’s chart shows a different reality. Several past green surges — marked clearly in the data — have failed to shift the overall downtrend.
Despite strong buy pressure moments, ADA has struggled to reverse its relative weakness against Bitcoin.
This calls for measured optimism.
With BTC dominance still strong and previous signals proving unreliable, ADA bulls must consider the possibility of another false start.
The $0.60 zone may offer opportunity; but only for those prepared for more downside before any meaningful recovery.
